Built in public · Live API · No bullshit

Sit out bad markets.
Automatically.

A regime-aware crypto signal system. Every bar is labeled TREND, RANGE, or STRESS — in STRESS, the bot doesn't trade. The full track record, every signal, and every avoided setup is live and public. Verify everything before you trust anything.

regime-signal — live
LIVE — these numbers refresh from api.regimeedge.io/api/public/performance on every page load. view the raw JSON →
Win Rate
live trading, real money
Signals Fired
BTC/USD + ETH/USD
Buy Signals
long entries triggered
Sell Signals
short / exit signals
Setups Skipped
regime + confirmation discipline

We publish win rate, signal counts, and discipline counters — not dollar P&L or trade count. Both are functions of deployed capital, not signal quality. A 10× larger account would post a 10× larger P&L for the same strategy; the strategy didn't change. The metrics above describe the system.

// signal feed

Recent Signals

BUY signals shown with a 5-minute delay. Exits and regime blocks are subscriber-only. Subscribers receive signals the moment they fire — with full score breakdown and regime context.

BTC/USD + ETH/USD  ·  Kraken ⏱ 5-MIN DELAYED PREVIEW
2026-05-02  14:32 UTC BTC/USD TREND score STRONG BUY Breakeven stop activated
2026-05-01  09:15 UTC BTC/USD TREND score STRONG BUY TP1 hit +2.1% · stop moved to breakeven
2026-04-30  22:44 UTC ETH/USD RANGE score MODERATE BUY ½ position size (range regime)
2026-04-29  18:03 UTC BTC/USD STRESS score STRONG BLOCKED Stress regime — entry skipped, capital protected
2026-04-28  11:27 UTC BTC/USD TREND score STRONG BUY Closed +3.8% · TP2 exit

▶  Subscribers receive: full score, signal breakdown, regime confidence, and live push notifications.

// build in public

We ship the infrastructure in public

Most "AI trading bot" services are a Telegram channel and a cropped P&L screenshot. RegimeEdge is real engineering. Recent ships:

DVOL contrarian downgrade

Deribit's vol index (the crypto VIX) overrides STRESS to half-size when extreme. 5-year backtest justifies it: extreme DVOL predicts mean-reversion, not drawdown.

→ Live · this week

Two-stage GARCH → HMM emissions

Vol clustering modeled inside the emission process (GARCH(1,1) conditional vol), not faked via state switches. Two-stage approximation of full MS-GARCH.

→ Live · this week

Absolute-anchor HMM mapping

State→regime mapping uses absolute vol bands, not rank within window. Fixes the structural over-fire of the rank-based mapping that plagued v1.

→ Live · this week

iOS push alerts via APNs

Signal alerts now ping your iPhone directly. End-to-end TLS with a Let's Encrypt cert. App distributed via TestFlight.

→ Live · this week

→  Full changelog & architecture docs on GitHub

// the edge

The Regime Classifier

Most TA-based bots treat every market the same way and bleed out in chop or crashes. RegimeEdge labels every bar TREND, RANGE, or STRESS — and the bot trades each one differently.

📈

TREND

Directional momentum (ADX ≥ 20, vol normal). Full position size. Once a trade is in profit, a breakeven stop activates — a winning trade never turns into a loss.

→ Full size  ·  All signals active

RANGE

Sideways chop (ADX < 20). Position size halved. Signals still fire but require a higher score threshold to clear.

→ Half size  ·  Tighter stops

STRESS

Elevated realized vol — crashes, news shocks, capitulation. New entries blocked entirely (except when Deribit's DVOL extreme flag fires, which triggers a contrarian half-size). The bot literally refuses to play.

→ No new positions  ·  Cash preserving
// how it works

Three steps to live signals

Subscribe once. Signals come to you.

01  /  WATCH FREE

Join the free preview channel

Join @RegimeEdgeFree on Telegram. A sampled subset of BUY signals appears there, 5-minute delayed, with regime context. No card required. Watch for as long as you want.

02  /  SUBSCRIBE

Upgrade for real-time signals

When you're ready, pick a plan. Stripe handles billing. Real-time delivery on Telegram + iOS push + JSON webhook (Pro). All signals, all symbols. Cancel anytime.

03  /  TRADE

You decide

Signals land with the regime label, score, ADX, and stop level. You decide whether to trade — RegimeEdge is informational, not automated execution. Most subscribers trade on Kraken or Coinbase.

// pricing

Simple, transparent pricing

Founding member pricing — locked in forever for the first 50 subscribers. Cancel anytime.

Free Preview
$0/mo

A sampled subset of BUY signals on Telegram, delayed 5 minutes. No card. Evaluate the quality before you pay anything.

  • Sampled BUY signals (~30%)
  • 5-minute delay
  • Regime label on every alert
  • No card required
Join the free channel →
Starter
$49/mo

All signals, real-time, via Telegram. Zero setup required.

  • Telegram alerts — instant delivery
  • BTC/USD + ETH/USD signals
  • Regime label on every alert
  • iOS push notifications
Join waitlist →
MOST POPULAR
Pro
$299/mo

Full signal API with regime feed. Plug into 3Commas, Alertatron, or your own bot.

  • Everything in Starter
  • JSON signal API + webhooks
  • Full score breakdown
  • Regime confidence feed
  • Priority support
Join waitlist →
Enterprise
Custom

Full white-label deployment for funds and family offices. P&L share or flat monthly fee.

  • Full bot deployment
  • Custom symbol universe
  • Dedicated infrastructure
  • Direct line to the team
  • AUM % or flat fee structure
Contact us →
// watch us build

Watch us build this in public.

Drop your email and you'll hear from us once — when paid subscriptions open.
In the meantime, the free Telegram channel and the public API let you watch everything we ship in real time. No FOMO drip, no daily marketing emails.

✓  You're on the list. We'll be in touch.

No spam. One email when we launch. Unsubscribe anytime.